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Its Week 11 of the and the wheat is finally starting to separate from Wesley Woodyard Jersey the chaff.The weekend started off with a bang as the were defeated by the on Thursday night and, more importantly, lost for the rest of the season, effectively knocking the Bengals .This opens up the AFC North for the and , who square off against each other this week. Both teams are on two-game winning streaks and are competing for the second spot in the division.Which side has the advantage? Ive got you covered.ADVERTISEMENT Elsewhere on the docket, the surprising are fighting for the playoffs, and rookie quarterback has entered the .Can they keep the good vibes rolling as a decent favorite against the now-healthy ?Im 31-24 on the season and itching to give you my favorite plays for the week, so lets keep it going.Here are my best bets for Week 11.All times ETLas Vegas Raiders @ Miami Dolphins (1 p.m. ET, CBS)The Raiders are hot! Fire the coach, change the quarterback, and presto, Las Vegas has beaten / and then at home.Now they have a road trip to a rested Miami team that will be as healthy as they have been all season on defense. Besides trying to move into the slot away from and , Im not sure where the Raiders have an edge.FINAL LV 13 MIA 20 NFL SPREADTO WINTOTAL Las Vegas Raiders LV +14.0 +613 O 44.5 Miami Dolphins MIA -14.0 -913 U 44.5 I bet this at 12.5 and 13, and this line has ballooned to -13.5 because bad teams that have gone to Miami have gotten blown out (, , , ).If you feel compelled to back the Raiders, Id look at the first quarter or first half, as teams coming off a bye have largely been sleepy this season.PICK: Miami (-13) to win by more than 13 pointsBrowns vs. Steelers, Dolphins vs. Raiders best Nate Davis Jersey bets, predictions, odds Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns (1 p.m. ET CBS)The Steelers have befuddled me all season.Ive lost backing them vs the , , and , but I loved them coming into this season.They did cover for me against the Raiders and , but I still do not understand them.Theyre the first team in over 70 years to have a winning record despite getting outgained in the first nine games, and theyve got a -26 point differential!FINAL PIT 10 CLE 13 NFL SPREADTO WINTOTAL Pittsburgh Steelers PIT +2.0 +116 O 34 Adam Humphries Jersey Cleveland Browns CLE -2.0 -138 U 34 Their 26-22 win at home over the Browns in Week 2 was extremely lucky, as they only had nine first downs, were outgained by 150+ yards and didnt get to the red zone once.Now, they face rookie quarterback , who was overwhelmed in his first start vs Baltimore. The difference here is that DTR has known all week hes starting this one. Last time, he didnt get word he was starting until hours before kickoff.Rookie QBs are 5-28 SU against Mike Tomlin, but Im going to back the Cleveland defense here at home.First to double digits wins?PICK: Cleveland (-1) to win by more than a pointNFL MVP Odds: is Texans CJ Stroud a legitimate contender? Arizona Cardinals @ Houston Texans (1 p.m. ET CBS)This one is tricky to handicap, as everyone will want to back as one of the hottest quarterbacks in the league.But Houston has been favored three times this year and is 0-3 ATS in those games, including two outright lo ses. And It would have been three if not for a miracle drive against the .FINAL ARI 16 HOU 21 NFL SPREADTO WINTOTAL Arizona Cardinals ARI +5.0 +200 O 48 Houston Texans HOU -5.0 -244 U 48 and returning helped Arizonas offense look impre sive against Atlanta. With the full complement of weapons, this week should go even better against the below-average Texans defense.The biggest concern here is that Houston coach Demeco Ryans should scheme up a smart game plan because he is very familiar with the Cardinals and Kyler Murray from his time in . Murray had one rushing yard during their 2021 meeting.PICK: Arizona (+5) to lose by fewer than 5 points (or win outright)Does Justin Fields still have a future with Bears after 2-2 record without him? Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions (1 p.m. ET, FOX and FOX Sports App)No line has moved more this week, with Chicago getting 10.5 early in the week before the line plummeted to +7.5 once was locked Jurrell Casey Jersey in as the starter.Fields rushed for 132 yards and 147 yards in two games against the Lions last year (both lo ses), and despite lofty rankings for Detroits defense (10th in DVOA), some of those numbers are inflated by playing punchle s offenses - , , Tampa Bay, and Las Vegas.FINAL CHI 26 DET 31 NFL SPREADTO WINTOTAL Chicago Bears CHI +8.0 +310 O 48 Detroit Lions DET -8.0 -399 U 48 The Bears defense has gotten healthy, and the Lions wont be able to run for 175+ yards like they did last week.I liked this much better at 9.5 and 8.5, and 8 is becoming a secondary key number with coaches going for two.The Lions are an interesting teaser leg, down to winning the game.PICK: Bears (+7.5) to lose by fewer than 7.5 points (or win outright)Jason McIntyre is a FOX Sports betting analyst who also writes about the NFL and NBA Draft. Before arriving at FOX Sports, he created the website The Big Lead. Follow Ryan Succop Jersey him on Twitter @JasonRMcIntyre.